# Last edited on 2014-03-28 19:28:41 by stolfilocal

[b]Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Saturday March 29[/b]

[b]Prediction valid for:[/b] Saturday 2014-03-29, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
[b]Huobi's predicted price:[/b] 2858 CNY.
[b]Bitstamp's predicted price:[/b] 470 USD. 

[url=http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-28-prediction-check-HUBI-annotated.png][img width=350]http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-28-prediction-check-HUBI-annotated.png[/img][/url] [url=http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-28-prediction-check-BSTP-annotated.png][img width=350]http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-28-prediction-check-BSTP-annotated.png[/img][/url]
[url=http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-28-prediction-explanation.txt]Plot legend[/url]

On the last two nights (Mar/27 and 28), after the last crash, Huobi saw significant volume at the Slumber Time (S = 0.008 and 0.004, respectively) but the data points are still usable (W = 0.28 and 0.75). Thus it seems reasonable to assume that they define a new straight-line trend after the crash, namely A + B*(d-d0), where d is the day of the month, d0 = 27, A = 3126, B = -134. 

The Bitstamp prediction, as usual, is the Huobi prediction divided by the currency conversion factor R, which was assumed to be 6.08 CNY/USD (it was 6.08, 6.03, 6.12, 6.10 at the last four Slumber Times).

[b]NOTE[/b]: The dark background seemed more appropriate for the candleflame icon and for these dark and stormy times.