# Last edited on 2014-03-06 18:47:38 by stolfilocal

[b]Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Thursday Mar/06[/b]

[quote]
[i]Cesse tudo o que a antiga musa canta / Que outro valor mais alto se alevanta.[/i]
(Luís de Camões, [url=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Os_Lus%C3%ADadas][i]Os Lusíadas[/i][/url] (1572) 
Trans.: [i]Shut the fuck up, here is boss speaking.[/i]
[/quote]

[b]Prediction valid for:[/b] Thursday 2014-03-06, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
[b]Huobi's predicted price:[/b] 3872 CNY.
[b]Bitstamp's predicted price:[/b] 633 USD.

[b]Huobi[/b]
[url=http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-05-prediction-check-HUBI-annotated.png][img width=600]http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-05-prediction-check-HUBI-annotated.png[/img][/url]
The red and green strokes are actual Huobi hourly prices.  The Huobi prediction for the next Slumber Time is the rightmost magenta rectangle.  The blue rectangle is the prediction for the last Slumber Time (see below). The light blue-gray rectangles are the previous predictions.  The orange and grey dots are the Slumber Points, the mean Huobi prices at 19:00 UTC every day. The albertosauri are the False points, the glyptodons are the True ones. The grey lines are trends fitted [i]a posteriori[/a] to the True points. The orange line is the trend that was assumed for the prediction.

[b]Bitstamp[/b]
[url=http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-05-prediction-check-BSTP-annotated.png][img width=600]http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-03-05-prediction-check-BSTP-annotated.png[/img][/url]
The red and green strokes are actual Bitstamp hourly prices.  The dots, dinosaurs, lines, and rectangles are [b]Huobi[/b]'s Slumber Points, dinosaurs, trends, and predictions, scaled by the currency conversion factor R (6.40 for Feb/07--09, 6.12 for all other times).

[b]Checking the previous non-prediction[/b]

The prediction that I told you yesterday that I would not make was 

Prediction not posted on: Tuesday 2014-03-04, 23:40 UTC 
Prediction was not valid for: Wednesday 2014-03-05, 19:00--19:59 UTC 

Huobi's non-predicted price: 4050 CNY
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3956 CNY
Error: 94 CNY (~15 USD)

Bitstamp's non-predicted price: 663 USD
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 668 USD
Error: 5 USD

[b]NOTE[/b]: Dinosaurs are used only for descriptive purposes in the above charts because I was not able to ascertain whether their use for technical analysis and prediction has been patented by the user who first applied them for such purposes.  Hopefully the issue can be resolved and more advanced [s]rpietila[/s] reptilians will appear in future issues.