# Last edited on 2015-04-17 23:21:25 by stolfilocal

PREDICTING GAINS

  # Someone posted the % gains in USD/BTC from April to April.
  # Fitting a quadratic:
  
    prefix="2014-04-24-april"
    pricesfile="${prefix}-prices.txt"
    gainsfile="${prefix}-gains.txt"
    
    compute_april_gains_file.sh ${prefix}
    cat ${gainsfile} | linear_fit -weighted 0 -terms 3

    plot_april_gains.sh ${prefix}
    
  # Someone posted prices november-to-november:
  # https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg9443938#msg9443938
  # Fitting a parabola:
  
    prefix="2014-11-05-nov"
    pricesfile="${prefix}-prices-0.txt"
    cat ${pricesfile} | linear_fit -weighted 0 -terms 3 
    plot_nov_prices.sh ${prefix} 0 10 308 -74
    
    logpricesfile="${prefix}-prices-1.txt"
    cat ${pricesfile} | gawk '/^20/{ printf "%9.4f %10.6f %d %d %d\n", $1, log($2)/log(10), $3, $4, $5; }' > ${logpricesfile}
    cat ${logpricesfile} | linear_fit -weighted 0 -terms 3 
    plot_nov_prices.sh ${prefix} 1 1.000000 2.015523 -0.628133