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June 11, 2014, 09:48:06 PM *
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21  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2014, 09:00:01 PM
btw. I see Bitfinex leading with the price now.
Only if it is relative to Bitstamp and/or BTC-e?

In the 1m chart, the last pump was

  Bitfinex: first hint 19:09, for real 19:10

  Huobi and OKCoin: first hint 19:07, for real 19:08






22  Economy / Securities / Re: Neo & Bee talk (spam free thread) on: June 08, 2014, 08:49:35 PM
I know I'm going far with this, but has crossed anyone's mind a possible identity theft of the late Danny?
Quote
(There is also a young welding technician called Danny Brewster, originating from the same general area of the UK, who died in Cyprus in obscure circumstances during a visit to a friend there, a few years ago.  But it is only a coincidence, apparently.)
At this point, that seems worth investigating.  However, my recollection is that the history of the other Danny Brewster (of those UK companies and the Lincolnshire Future Festival) and of the deceased welder overlap in time.  If this is true, then they are probably two separate persons.

I am still curious about the "Ramluda Antonictivius" that Danny Brewster named as the new owner of the festival company.  I fancy that he is "Romualdas Antonovicius", pparently a young Lithuanian immigrant to the UK (see my posts earlier on this thread). 
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=529946.msg6517997#msg6517997
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=529946.msg6550041#msg6550041
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=529946.msg6554443#msg6554443

I will not be surprised if it turns out that Mr. Antonovicius left England long ago, and/or did not know anything about the Festival.  But he may have crossed Mr. Brewster's path around that time, he may know more about his past, and, maybe, maybe, he could offer some hints about his current whereabouts.

23  Economy / Securities / Re: Neo & Bee talk (spam free thread) on: June 08, 2014, 08:19:35 PM
Whats Dannys real name? is it really Daniel Brewster or what?
I hv investors who want to buy the business how do i get hold of him?
He seems to have used "Daniel (James) Brewster" or "Danny (James) Brewster" in his previous ventures:

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-lincolnshire-19099595

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=529946.msg6503255#msg6503255

There is a possibility that those people are not the same as Neo & Bee's CEO, but I have seen many posts here that seem pretty consistent with that identification, and none that contradicts it.  Unfortunately, neither his investors nor his close collaborators seemed interested in his UK background before he ran away from N&B (or even after that).

(There is also a young welding technician called Danny Brewster, originating from the same general area of the UK, who died in Cyprus in obscure circumstances during a visit to a friend there, a few years ago.  But it is only a coincidence, apparently.)

I do not know the current legal status of N&B (in liquidation, forced by creditors?), but doubt that it can be purchased.  Its net worth is probably negative (i.e. it probably owes more money than its total assets are worth).  They did not have a real business plan, they did not get a license to operate as a bank, and had no prospect of getting one.  Their workers all quit without the last mont's pay.  The upper staff and its chief supporters, embarassed as hell, have posted apologies to /r/bitcoin.  And the brand has become a bad joke in Cyprus.

Those investors you mention apparently do not know anything about the company they want to buy.  Who is advising them?
24  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2014, 05:51:29 PM
I hope you are not literally interpreting his words, with awkward google translation
He's just pretending a little puppy, licking the feet of PBoC, begging for the dictator's mercy
Thanks for the warning, yes, I understand that.

(But I hope you are not taking Barry Silbert's words literally, either.  Wink)
25  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2014, 05:45:52 PM
The last Sunday and Monday (June 1--2) were an important holiday in China, the Dragon Boat festival, when traditional "dragon boat" rowing races are held http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duanwu_Festival

That seems to explain the anomalous trading volume pattern on Huobi and other Chinese sites, with strong trading up to 3-4 am in the night from Sunday to Monday.
26  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2014, 05:00:16 PM
Some of you may be interested in this Chinese interview of Huobi's CEO, from a month ago:
https://www.huobi.com/news/index.php?a=show_notice&id=364
27  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2014, 04:47:44 PM
Does anyone understand this note by Huobi's site from a week ago (2014-06-02)?  Google Translate is not very helpful...  Did they they discontinue a certain type of ask/bid?  Or just some type of price query?

https://www.huobi.com/news/index.php?a=show_notice&id=399
Quote
Description moratorium on price alone function
Time :2014-06-02 01:12:17 Source: Huobi.com

Dear Huobi.com users:
    
Confirmed market orders have a very small probability of matching the program hit single active trading led to abnormal price fluctuations, in order to solve this problem we have decided to suspend the market price of a single transaction capabilities.

In order not to affect you for the automated trading programs, api submitted on the price of a single method call will still be successful, but the success of market orders submitted will be automatically revoked, but the return of funds accordingly.

We will re-start after the completion of the transaction price of a single final confirmation, the impact of this result is very sorry.

Huobi.com Operations
2014.06.02
28  Economy / Securities / Re: Neo & Bee talk (spam free thread) on: June 08, 2014, 12:09:23 PM
does anyone know how to find him? i want sue him for my shares.
He ran away in March with no warning or destination.  An arrest warrant was issued by the Cypriot police, for bitcoins that he sold personally to some people but failed to deliver.  His current whereabouts are unknown.

Only after he ran away did people look at his past.  Turns out that he had done something similar in the UK: he organized a big music festival, collected money from food services and such, sold some tickets, then canceled everything and claimed that he did not own a dime to creditors and ticket holders because he had sold the company and the debts were the company's', not his own.

I don't know if you can get anything back, even if he is caught.  Aren't those shares just titles for a fraction of the profits in the first two years?  Since the company closed, they didn't and won't have any profit, so they did not have to pay anything.
29  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2014, 04:26:46 AM
I would prefer to compare volume on a usd basis
Bitcoinwisdom has recently added that option to the "Settings" menu.
30  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 01:38:38 PM
From that same article: "Caballero’s team has big plans aside from Facebook and is currently working on a universal tipping platform for WordPress, Drupal, Joomla, Xenforo, PHPBB and others."
But that is not good news for bitcoin, is it? It is a competitor, not an adopter.
31  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 12:44:31 PM
Maybe he can write a rebuttal and try and have it published?
That paper was deposited at ArXiv.
32  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 12:05:52 PM
Jorge, Did you read Ladislav Kristoufek's paper yet?
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1406.0268v1.pdf
Yes, when it was first posted here.

Any comments?
One already yesterday, check my latest posts.  More to follow later.
33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 11:58:50 AM
Nevertheless, BTCChina is still keeping above 4000 CNY.
Price at all exchanges, big or small, moves together due to arbitrage trading. 

BTC-China stopped using Alipay and bank transfers, and switched to a voucher system, after the December "five agencies" decree; while Huobi kept accepting deposits into the CEO's personal account, switching later to a corporate account.  This was well reported at the time, and the sudden loss of >90% of  volume at BTC-China, while Huobi's volume increased, was attributed to that.  It is not my speculation.

If China does not define the price, then why is it that events relevant to the Chinese market but irreleveant to the "West" (like the December decree, the March Caixin leak, and subsequent deadlines and closures), have dramatic effect on price; while events that are relevant to the "West" but irrlevant to the Chinese have no visible effect at all?
34  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 03:40:25 AM
stuck at 660.  number of the bees?
Cheesy
35  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 12:41:45 AM
I found some archival material of Jorge performing some early research into the Chinese Slumber Method
Not long ago, @fonzie kindly posted a pic of me at the KyotoCGGT2007 conference banquet, but he cropped out an important detail:

To vulgar Illuminati, that may look like an ordinary maiko-san, but the Fluorescenti will surely recognize the Bitcoin Goddess in plainclothes.

You see, that very night the Gods had convened in Japan to decide what would be the appropriate punishment for Pokemon, Tamagotchi, and Hello Kitty.  Some wanted an army of Godzillas plus explosive meltdown of all nuclear reactors in the country, but in the end she convinced them to settle for just 3 and 1/2 meltdowns and a bitcoin exchange.  (I had no idea at the time of what bitcoin was, so I thought that it was quite generous of them.)

I honestly do not know what she was doing at the conference banquet.  Perhaps she is fond of old academics, for some reason.  I have noticed that the price of bitcoin always dips when an old prof gets insulted or is made fun of.  Like, right now.
36  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 06, 2014, 12:12:50 AM
Orange circles are major price moves initiating smack in the middle of "Chinese night".
Must be them sleepwalking Chinamen, eh?
Check the volume plots at Huobi on those days...

But, hey, if you don't believe in China, that is fine.  I am just looking at the charts for fun, or the academic version thereof.  I hope that China pulls out from bitcoin soon, so that we have one less thing to disagree about.  Wink
37  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: BitcoinWisdom.com - Live Bitcoin/LiteCoin Charts on: June 05, 2014, 11:50:09 PM
Another minor problem, perhaps: It is 23:30 UTC, Shouldn't there be a "22" and a "23"  in the cirlced area at the bottom?

My local time is 3 hours West of UTC, could that be relevant?

EDIT: I am sorry if the image shouws truncated, but it is a bug in the forum software that the admins seem unable to fix.  Will provied a cropped version right away.  Fixed image.

EDIT2: Oops, mystery solved.  It seems that Huobi had very low volume (or suffered a DDOS attack) around that time, so several candles are missing from the chart - including those that should have carried the "22" and "23" labels.
38  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 05, 2014, 08:07:23 PM
China isn't as significant as people would like to believe
Of course it isn't.  Like now, for example, the price is not moving only because the Wertern traders are holding back while the Chinese are sleeping.  They do not want the spectators at the Chinese exchanges to miss any of the action.
39  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 05, 2014, 04:49:28 PM
This might account for the renunciations (just the very rich!)
Indeed.  I recall many decades ago Ingmar Bergman moving to the US to escape Sweden's progressive income tax (over 60% for his bracket, IIRC).  And, more recently, Gerard Depardieu moving to Belgium to escape Hollande's "wealth tax".
40  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 05, 2014, 03:46:14 PM
Just out of interest, what would the place you are do if you were born while your mother was vacationing in the US (automatic US citizenship there)?
She would have to get a birth certificate from a Brazilian consulate in order for me to have Brazilian citizenship.  (Perhaps she could do dat here in Brazil too, after returning, I don't know.)

Brazil does not mind about the dual citizenship; I would not need to renounce the US one, and if I had it I could use the US passport when going to the US, and the Brazilian one when coming back.  That would be quite an advantage, because both countries have expensive and extremely cumbersome visa-granting procedures for travel between them.
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